Critical Finance Review > Vol 12 > Issue 1-4

Trend and Reversal of Idiosyncratic Volatility Revisited

Markus Leippold, University of Zurich, Department of Banking and Finance, Switzerland, markus.leippold@bf.uzh.ch , Michal Svatoň, University of Zurich, Department of Banking and Finance, Switzerland, michal.svaton@bf.uzh.ch
 
Suggested Citation
Markus Leippold and Michal Svatoň (2023), "Trend and Reversal of Idiosyncratic Volatility Revisited", Critical Finance Review: Vol. 12: No. 1-4, pp 171-202. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/104.00000129

Publication Date: 08 Aug 2023
© 2023 Markus Leippold and Michal Svatoň
 
Subjects
 
Keywords
G11G12G14
Idiosyncratic volatilityMeasurement errorBid-ask bounceAsynchronicityCRSP database
 

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In this article:
1. Introduction 
2. Revisiting CLMX 
3. The Three Channels of IV Measurement 
4. Was There a Trend in the IV? 
5. Conclusion 
References 

Abstract

We reexamine the existence of an upward trend in the idiosyncratic volatility (IV) of US-listed stocks between 1962 and 2000 documented in Campbell et al. (2001). Following the same methodology as in their paper, we confirm the upward trend and the subsequent reversal, as reported by Bekaert et al. (2012). However, taking a closer look, we find that this result is influenced by microstructure biases in realized variances and correlations based on daily returns. Correcting these biases, we find that, depending on whether we use equal- or value-weighted IV and whether we include the pre-NASDAQ period, between 17% and 62% of the trend is removed. Also, the subsequent reversal of IV is almost entirely removed once we correct for these biases. We also highlight the mechanical dependence of the IV measure on industry concentration. From 1962 to 2000, industry concentration also contributes to a higher IV. However, its effect remains quantitatively small.

DOI:10.1561/104.00000129

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Critical Finance Review, Volume 12, Issue 1-4 Special Issue: Volatility and Higher Moments: Articles Overview
See the other articles that are part of this special issue.