Foundations and Trends® in Finance > Vol 13 > Issue 3-4

Financial Machine Learning

By Bryan Kelly, Yale School of Management, AQR Capital Management, and NBER, USA, bryan.kelly@yale.edu | Dacheng Xiu, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, USA, dacheng.xiu@chicagobooth.edu

 
Suggested Citation
Bryan Kelly and Dacheng Xiu (2023), "Financial Machine Learning", Foundations and TrendsĀ® in Finance: Vol. 13: No. 3-4, pp 205-363. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/0500000064

Publication Date: 08 Nov 2023
© 2023 B. Kelly and D. Xiu
 
Subjects
Asset Pricing,  Financial Markets,  Financial Econometrics,  Panel Data,  Time Series Analysis,  Dimension Reduction,  Deep Learning,  Data Mining,  Text Mining
 

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In this article:
1. Introduction: The Case for Financial Machine Learning
2. The Virtues of Complex Models
3. Return Prediction
4. Risk-Return Tradeoffs
5. Optimal Portfolios
6. Conclusions
Acknowledgements
References

Abstract

We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping machine learning tools, as well as for statisticians and machine learners seeking interesting financial contexts where advanced methods may be deployed.

DOI:10.1561/0500000064
ISBN: 978-1-63828-290-7
172 pp. $99.00
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ISBN: 978-1-63828-291-4
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Table of contents:
1. Introduction: The Case for Financial Machine Learning
2. The Virtues of Complex Models
3. Return Prediction
4. Risk-Return Tradeoffs
5. Optimal Portfolios
6. Conclusions
Acknowledgements
References

Financial Machine Learning

Financial Machine Learning surveys the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. The authors highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping machine learning tools, as well as for statisticians and machine learners seeking interesting financial contexts where advanced methods may be deployed.

This survey is organized as follows. Section 2 analyzes the theoretical benefits of highly parameterized machine learning models in financial economics. Section 3 surveys the variety of machine learning methods employed in the empirical analysis of asset return predictability. Section 4 focuses on machine learning analyses of factor pricing models and the resulting empirical conclusions for risk-return tradeoffs. Section 5 presents the role of machine learning in identifying optimal portfolios and stochastic discount factors. Section 6 offers brief conclusions and directions for future work.

 
FIN-064