Quarterly Journal of Political Science > Vol 20 > Issue 2

Throwing Away the Umbrella: Minority Voting after the Supreme Court's Shelby Decision

Mayya Komisarchik, University of Rochester, USA, mayya.komisarchik@rochester.edu , Ariel White, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA, arwhi@mit.edu
 
Suggested Citation
Mayya Komisarchik and Ariel White (2025), "Throwing Away the Umbrella: Minority Voting after the Supreme Court's Shelby Decision", Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 20: No. 2, pp 269-305. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00023045

Publication Date: 14 Apr 2025
© 2025 M. Komisarchik and A. White
 
Subjects
Elections,  Voting behavior,  Voting theory
 
Keywords
Voting rightsturnout gapVoting Rights ActShelby v. Holder
 

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In this article:
Shelby v. Holder and The End of Preclearance 
Preclearance: Functioning and Possible Effects of Removal 
Election Changes 
Electoral Impacts 
Downstream Outcomes: Legislative Representation 
Conclusion 
References 

Abstract

The Supreme Court's 2013 decision in Shelby County v. Holder dramatically changed the Voting Rights Act, ending the "preclearance" process that had required federal approval before places with a history of discrimination changed their voting procedures. Dissenting justices and voting-rights advocates feared the decision could allow changes to election administration that would suppress minority voter participation. This paper evaluates the decision's impact on election practices and on voting. Shelby yielded decisive changes in some practices that had been constrained by preclearance (voter identification laws), though evidence on potential indirect changes to election administration is mixed. These bounded changes to election practices do not appear to have translated into a degradation of minority voter participation or power over the period studied. Using administrative data and a difference-in-differences design comparing places affected and unaffected by the court's decision, we find minimal changes in Black-white voting gaps in the post-Shelby period; further analyses indicate that voter participation was generally stable or potentially increasing in previously covered places.

DOI:10.1561/100.00023045

Online Appendix | 100.00023045_app.pdf

This is the article's accompanying appendix.

DOI: 10.1561/100.00023045_app

Replication Data | 100.00023045_supp.zip (ZIP).

This file contains the data that is required to replicate the data on your own system.

DOI: 10.1561/100.00023045_supp