Quarterly Journal of Political Science > Vol 19 > Issue 4

Does Informative Opposition Influence Electoral Accountability?

Satoshi Kasamatsu, Faculty of Economics, Musashi University, Japan, kasamatsu00@gmail.com , Daiki Kishishita, School of Management, Tokyo University of Science, Japan, daiki.kishishita@gmail.com
 
Suggested Citation
Satoshi Kasamatsu and Daiki Kishishita (2024), "Does Informative Opposition Influence Electoral Accountability?", Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 19: No. 4, pp 459-498. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00023109

Publication Date: 16 Oct 2024
© 2024 S. Kasamatsu and D. Kishishita
 
Subjects
Congress,  Elections,  Formal modelling,  Game theory,  Legislatures
 
Keywords
Monitoringcheap-talkpolitical agencyminority partylegislature
 

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In this article:
Model 
Benchmark: Model without Monitoring 
Equilibrium: Model with Monitoring 
Remedy: Legislative Power of the Minority Party 
Discussion 
Concluding Remarks 
Appendix: Omitted Proofs 
References 

Abstract

In majoritarian legislatures, minority parties cannot directly influence policymaking. However, they may serve as whistleblowers against the majority parties' harmful policymaking. This study aims to explore whether a minority party's monitoring mitigates a political agency problem in a majoritarian legislature. For this purpose, we construct a two-period election model in which voters face information asymmetries regarding each party's type and the state of the world. After the majority party proposes a bill, the minority party votes for or against the proposed bill, which is a cheap-talk message. We show that the role of monitoring by the minority party is limited, even if we allow the possibility that the party is the truth-telling type. Under a weak condition, its opposition is informative, but does not change the electorate's voting behaviors. Consequently, any equilibrium outcomes attained in the game with monitoring are attainable in the game without monitoring. This implies that monitoring by the minority party does not influence electoral accountability. This irrelevance of monitoring is resolved when the minority party can delay legislation through obstruction.

DOI:10.1561/100.00023109

Online Appendix | 100.00023109_app.pdf

This is the article's accompanying appendix.

DOI: 10.1561/100.00023109_app