Quarterly Journal of Political Science > Vol 19 > Issue 4

District Competitiveness Increases Voter Turnout: Evidence from Repeated Redistricting in North Carolina

Robert Ainsworth, University of Florida, USA, robert.ainsworth@ufl.edu , Emanuel Garcia Munoz, Palm Beach Atlantic University, USA, emanuel_garciamunoz@pba.edu , Andres Munoz Gomez, University of Florida, USA, amunozgomez@ufl.edu
 
Suggested Citation
Robert Ainsworth, Emanuel Garcia Munoz and Andres Munoz Gomez (2024), "District Competitiveness Increases Voter Turnout: Evidence from Repeated Redistricting in North Carolina", Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 19: No. 4, pp 387-432. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00022114

Publication Date: 16 Oct 2024
© 2024 R. Ainsworth, E. G. Munoz and A. M. Gomez
 
Subjects
Microeconometrics,  Law and Economics,  Public economics,  Congress,  Electoral institutions,  Legislatures,  Political participation,  Political psychology,  Representation,  State politics,  Voting behavior
 
Keywords
Voter turnoutcompetitivenessgerrymandering
 

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In this article:
Conceptual Overview 
Preliminaries 
The Effects of Assigned Competitiveness 
Additivity Across Chambers 
The Impacts of North Carolina's Legislative Districts 
Conclusion 
References 

Abstract

We study whether competitive legislative districts cause higher voter turnout. To do so, we employ rich data on the 2006 to 2020 elections in North Carolina. We make use of variation in district competitiveness due to repeated bouts of redistricting, a process in which district boundaries are redrawn. Specifically, we compare people who share the same districts in each legislative chamber (U.S. House, NC Senate, NC House) before redistricting but who differ in districts after redistricting. We match these people on demographics, party registration, and pre-redistricting turnout. We then track their turnout behavior in post-redistricting elections. For the U.S. House, switching from an uncompetitive "80–20" district to a competitive "55–45" district increases turnout by a rate of 1 percentage point per election of exposure. For the state chambers, the magnitude is 0.6. Effects are highly persistent and sum across chambers. They appear to be explained in part by a learning channel, where living in a competitive district induces people to believe that races can be competitive.

DOI:10.1561/100.00022114

Online Appendix | 100.00022114_app.pdf

This is the article's accompanying appendix.

DOI: 10.1561/100.00022114_app

Replication Data | 100.00022114_supp.zip (ZIP).

This file contains the data that is required to replicate the data on your own system.

DOI: 10.1561/100.00022114_supp